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The African Union Transition Mission in Somalia (ATMIS) has successfully concluded the third phase of its planned troop reduction, signaling Somalia’s increasing independence in managing its national security. This stage involved the withdrawal of more than 3,000 personnel, as part of the broader effort to transfer security responsibilities from international forces to the Somali National Army (SNA). The drawdown is a pivotal component of Somalia’s journey toward self-reliance in combating terrorism and ensuring regional stability.
Progress in Transition and Drawdown Goals
ATMIS’s withdrawal aligns with a 2021 agreement between the African Union (AU) and the United Nations, which outlined the mission’s gradual scaling down. By December 2024, the AU plans to reduce its personnel from 19,626 to a smaller contingent supporting the Somali government. Earlier phases, conducted in June and September, saw the handover of key bases and territories to the SNA as part of this transition.
Somali officials have expressed confidence in their ability to fill the void left by ATMIS forces, pointing to recent victories against al-Shabaab militants. This milestone represents an important step in fulfilling Somalia’s long-term security strategy.
Supporting Stability Amid Challenges
Despite the troop reductions, ATMIS has pledged to maintain its support for Somalia during this critical period. This includes logistical aid, training, intelligence-sharing, and mentorship for the SNA. The African Union remains committed to ensuring that the progress made in the fight against al-Shabaab is not undermined.
However, challenges remain. Al-Shabaab continues to pose a significant threat in some regions, and experts have highlighted the need for sustained international support to bolster Somalia’s security infrastructure. The Somali government has been urged to address these gaps to prevent a resurgence of the militant group’s activities.
Looking Ahead
The ongoing transition represents a critical juncture for Somalia and the region. ATMIS’s gradual exit is part of a broader strategy to empower Somali forces while safeguarding gains made over years of joint operations. The AU and UN have emphasized the importance of cooperation and vigilance to ensure a seamless and successful handover.