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Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan announced that high-stakes negotiations are set to begin next week to address the complex naval deal involving Somalia, Ethiopia, and Somaliland. The Turkish initiative aims to resolve regional tensions by negotiating Ethiopia’s bid for a naval base on the Red Sea, Somaliland’s quest for international recognition, and Somalia’s concerns over its sovereignty.
Background of the Naval Deal
The tensions stem from a deal signed in January 2024, in which Somaliland agreed to grant Ethiopia access to a 90-kilometer stretch of land along the Red Sea. This access would enable Ethiopia to establish a naval base, a move that has sparked anger in Mogadishu. In exchange for this concession, Ethiopia would officially recognize Somaliland’s independence.
Turkish Proposal and Diplomatic Efforts
The new Turkish proposal seeks to break the deadlock by allowing Ethiopia to secure the desired sea access and strategic naval position, while Somalia would receive recognition of its sovereignty. Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan revealed this plan after returning from diplomatic visits to Addis Ababa and Cairo, where he sought to rally support and broker a resolution.
Upcoming Negotiations about the Naval Deal
A new round of talks is scheduled for next week, following a previous failed meeting between representatives from Somalia and Ethiopia. Fidan’s statement underscores Turkey’s broader strategy of leveraging its diplomatic influence to protect its interests in the Horn of Africa, a region of increasing geopolitical importance.
Somalia’s Position on the Naval Deal
Somalia’s President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud has previously stated that his government would not allow the establishment of an Ethiopian naval base on Somali territory, offering instead to grant Ethiopia commercial access to the sea. However, Mohamud’s government has yet to fulfill its promise of not engaging in discussions with Addis Ababa until the memorandum of understanding with Somaliland is rescinded.
Uncertain Outcome
It remains unclear whether the Somali government will yield to Turkish pressure and compromise, potentially permitting Ethiopia to build a naval base in Somaliland. The outcome of the upcoming negotiations will be critical in determining the future of the deal and its implications for regional stability.